--- title: "HW 1" author: "Name here" date: "Due January 18, 2017 at 5:00 PM" output: html_document --- Please use D2L to turn in both the HTML output and your R Markdown file in. ### Q1. (3 pts) In the context of the Guess Who game with 6 possible characters, describe and defend a prior belief on the probabilities for each character being the "Who". ### Q2. (3 pts) Now assume you have asked a question that eliminates two characters, how have your prior beliefs changed. ### Q3 (4 pts) A key feature of this class will be focused on thinking probabilistically. In three or four sentences, interpret the graph below. ```{r, echo=F } inches <- seq(0,10, by= .01) density <- dgamma(seq(0, 10, by=.01), 5, 1.5) * .5 density[1] <- density[1] + .5 plot(inches, density, type='l', lwd=2, main='Probability of Snow Tomorrow ', xlab = 'Inches', ylab = '') ```