p(n + 1) - p(n)
and the ratios
p(n + 1) / p(n)
Notice that the differences seem to be varying around a mean of about 1050 while the ratios appear to be declining. Thus, it looks like the underlying model might be
p(n + 1) - p(n) = 1050
with some random variation. Random variation is common with real data.
n p(n) p(n + 1) - p(n) p(n + 1) / p(n) 1 12000 2 13097 1097. 1.09 3 14115 1018. 1.08 4 15199 1084. 1.08 5 16202 1003. 1.07 6 17242 1040. 1.06 7 18292 1050. 1.06 8 19364 1072. 1.06 9 20431 1067. 1.06 10 21498 1067. 1.05 11 22500 1001. 1.05 12 23573 1073. 1.05 13 24614 1041. 1.04 14 25633 1019. 1.04 15 26671 1037. 1.04 16 27743 1073. 1.04 17 28805 1062. 1.04 18 29849 1044. 1.04 19 30878 1029. 1.03 20 31880 1002. 1.03
p(n + 1) - p(n)
and the ratios
p(n + 1) / p(n)
Notice that the differences seem to be steadily increasing while the ratios seem to be varying around a mean of 1.13. Thus, it looks like the underlying model might be
p(n + 1) = 1.13 p(n)
with some random variation.
n p(n) p(n + 1) - p(n) p(n + 1) / p(n) 1 12000 2 13455 1455. 1.12 3 15124 1669. 1.12 4 17134 2010. 1.13 5 19455 2321. 1.14 6 21839 2384. 1.12 7 24531 2692. 1.12 8 27786 3255. 1.13 9 31246 3460. 1.12 10 35140 3893. 1.12 11 39682 4543. 1.13 12 44805 5123. 1.13 13 50365 5560. 1.12 14 56934 6568. 1.13 15 64849 7915. 1.14 16 72636 7788. 1.12 17 81367 8730. 1.12 18 91684 10317. 1.13 19 103579 11895. 1.13 20 118072 14494. 1.14
p(n + 1) - p(n)
and the ratios
p(n + 1) / p(n)
In addition we have added one new column the ratio
[p(n + 1) - 68] / [p(n) - 68]
because it is important to look at the difference between an object's temperature and the ambient (or room) temperature. Notice that this last ratio appears to be varying around a mean of 0.971. Thus, the underlying model here moght be something like
p(n + 1) - 68 = 0.971 [p(n) - 68]
with some randon variation.
n p(n) p(n + 1) - p(n) p(n + 1) / p(n) 1 120.00 2 118.54 -1.46 0.9879 0.9720 3 117.06 -1.49 0.9874 0.9705 4 115.68 -1.37 0.9883 0.9720 5 114.28 -1.40 0.9879 0.9705 6 112.89 -1.38 0.9879 0.9701 7 111.58 -1.32 0.9883 0.9707 8 110.31 -1.27 0.9886 0.9708 9 109.05 -1.25 0.9886 0.9704 10 107.82 -1.23 0.9887 0.9700 11 106.65 -1.17 0.9892 0.9707 12 105.54 -1.11 0.9896 0.9712 13 104.48 -1.06 0.9900 0.9718 14 103.40 -1.08 0.9897 0.9704 15 102.38 -1.02 0.9901 0.9712 16 101.42 -0.97 0.9906 0.9719 17 100.45 -0.97 0.9905 0.9711 18 99.49 -0.96 0.9904 0.9704 19 98.57 -0.92 0.9908 0.9709 20 97.69 -0.88 0.9911 0.9711